Country Risk Update August 2015

August 2015

Although politicians have grabbed the headlines with agreements concluded over the Greek debt crisis and Iranian nuclear programme, uncertainty continues to pervade prospects for the global economy. Both agreements could yet unravel, with ill consequences for growth, and even with no such shocks the emerging market outlook is disappointing. China, in the thrall of a precipitous stock market crash, is a worry as concerns grow that it will fail to achieve its 7% real growth target in 2015, or only meet it because real GDP ignores plunging producer prices: China’s manufacturing sector is barely expanding. Furthermore, positive effects from the commodity price rout in the last year are yet to be felt (the IMF expected global growth to gain 0.2 percentage points for each USD10 per barrel fall in oil prices); and our Global Risk Index is at its third-highest level ever.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B’s Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

WORLD SNAPSHOT

AFRICA

Uganda: Parliament finally approves the long-standing public-private partnership bill.

Zimbabwe: Key companies struggle with a slowing economy and a difficult operating environment.

MIDDLE EAST

Israel: An IMF report outlines the difficulties faced by the authorities.
Saudi Arabia: The government enters the debt market for the first time since 2007.

 

WESTERN EUROPE

Switzerland: The number of business failures rises sharply.
Turkey: A bombing campaign is launched against the Kurdish separatist group, the PKK.

ASIA PACIFIC

Korea (South): The growth outlook weakens amid faltering Chinese growth and a viral outbreak.
Singapore: Dun & Bradstreet downgrades Singapore’s country risk rating amid a deterioration in regional conditions.

EASTERN EUROPE

Serbia: Pressure from increasing migration could radicalise politics.
Slovakia: Easing Greek euro-zone exit risks improve the outlook.

AMERICAS

Canada: The economy suffers an oil priced-induced downturn.
United States of America: Growth data paints a picture of another so-so year. 

D&B Country Insight Services

D&B’s Country RiskLine reports above are written by a team of highly skilled analysts in D&B’s Country Insight Services team using exclusive data from its global network of reporting offices as well as primary and secondary data from national and international sources.

These snapshot reports provide a succinct assessment of the risk of doing business in a country, given its economic, political and commercial situation.

Updated monthly, the data and analysis are presented in a standard format  which helps you monitor and evaluate the business trading conditions in a foreign country and facilitates the management of ongoing business risk around the globe.

To find out more information click here.

D&B Country Insight Snapshots

The Country RiskLine reports that used to form part of this monthly update have been replaced with a new monitoring report product – D&B Country Insight Snapshots.

Argentina

Investor concerns rise and the peso falls as the ruling party’s candidate maintains their lead. Report

France

The growth forecast is revised upwards once again amid prevailing tailwinds. Report

Malaysia

Increasing FX-denominated debt poses medium-term risks to financial stability. Report

veröffentlicht am: 20. August 2015