Country Risk Update August 2017

August 2017

Country Insight Update

August 2017

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B’s Country Insight Update.

Into H2 2017, we continue to forecast stronger world growth for the year at 2.8%, up from 2.3% in 2016 and the strongest performance since 2011. However, over the past month we have noticed a change to trends in the major economies, with the US data indicating a weakening of growth as the year progresses, while the prospects for the eurozone, Japan and China are improving. We now forecast US growth to come in at 2.0% in 2017, up from 1.6% in 2016, while the eurozone will edge up from 1.7% to 1.8%, and Japan from 1.0% to 1.3%; but China will slow from 6.7% to 6.3%.

The weaker outlook for the US has raised market concerns about the timing of the next Federal Reserve interest rate change. In June US interest rates were raised for a second time in 2017, with the Fed signalling one further hike this year. In addition, it indicated that it is liable to start unwinding its bloated balance sheet by year-end. While we are maintaining our forecast in line with the Fed, further delays in timing – out to December, as we expect – could hold off a return of volatility in global capital and currency markets, in turn maintaining business confidence until late Q4 at least.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B’s Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.



Algeria: A new policy aims to cut the abuse of import tariffs.
South Africa: The benchmark interest rate is cut to stimulate growth.


Iran: US pressure on Iran continues to ratchet upn.
Oman: Dun & Bradstreet downgrades Oman’s country risk rating amid weak economic fundamentals and rising political risk.


Germany: Dun & Bradstreet upgrades Germany’s country risk rating amid multiple positive developments.
United Kingdom: Political uncertainty remains high amid anaemic growth.


Poland: Dun & Bradstreet downgrades Poland’s country risk rating due to ongoing political problems.
Russian Federation: The US approves legislation to extend sanctions on Russia.


India: Dun & Bradstreet downgrades its rating outlook for India as the central bank cuts interest rates.
Indonesia: The government steps up efforts to contain extremist groups.


Argentina: Economic activity accelerates amid impressive growth in industrial production.
Bolivia: A boundary committee with Chile is reactivated to help restore co-operation.

D&B Country Insight Services

D&B’s Country RiskLine reports above are written by a team of highly skilled analysts in D&B’s Country Insight Services team using exclusive data from its global network of reporting offices as well as primary and secondary data from national and international sources.

These snapshot reports provide a succinct assessment of the risk of doing business in a country, given its economic, political and commercial situation.

Updated monthly, the data and analysis are presented in a standard format  which helps you monitor and evaluate the business trading conditions in a foreign country and facilitates the management of ongoing business risk around the globe.

To find out more information click here.

NEW: D&B Country Insight Snapshots

Designed with the help of our customers these reports build on the key areas assessed by ‚D&B’s Country Insight Model‘ and deliver a perfect balance between mitigating risk exposure and providing insight into new opportunities.


The economy is likely to have expanded further in Q2 but downside risks remain. Report


Japan signs a major free-trade agreement with the EU. Report


The central bank tightens monetary policy as robust inflation persists. Report

veröffentlicht am: 11. August 2017