Country Risk Update December 2013

December 2013

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B’s Country Risk Update.

Key Risks: The talk is of modest recoveries and consolidation, but much of the world is still in an extremely dynamic phase outside of Europe. Bank credit, private consumption, service sector output and stock markets have expanded or put in good performances in a host of emerging markets and some developed ones in recent quarters. It is in investment in fixed capital and manufacturing that the tone has been much more choppy and uneven in the past several quarters, in what has been a surprisingly global pattern that reminds us of the reality of global supply chains. The recovery from this understated, specific down-cycle in manufacturing, that had its trigger in China, is helping to consolidate the sense of recovery, even as large questions marks still exist about demand in Europe and how the Federal Reserve can extricate the US from its unprecedented, deep policy experiments.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B’s Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest country risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

WORLD SNAPSHOT

AFRICA

Angola: The central bank cuts the policy rate amid receding inflation.
Tunisia: Security and political problems undermine the overall outlook.

 

MIDDLE EAST

Egypt: The political arena remains fragile and levels of uncertainty prevail.
Saudi Arabia: Government plans to ‚Saudi-ise‘ the workforce adversely affect the economy.

 

WESTERN EUROPE

Germany: The introduction of the minimum wage is likely to cause significant numbers of job losses.
Ireland:  Economic growth finally seems to be gaining forward momentum.

 

EASTERN EUROPE

Slovenia: D&B downgrades Slovenia’s country risk rating as the full extent of the banking crisis becomes clear.
Ukraine: D&B downgrades Ukraine’s country risk rating amid growing political crisis and deteriorating economic fundamentals.

 

ASIA PACIFIC

Singapore: Rising manufacturing output and retail trade activity drive a marked economic turnaround.
Thailand: D&B downgrades Thailand’s country risk rating due to political unrest and a slowing economy.   

AMERICAS

Mexico: The government moves to end the state monopoly on the energy sector.
Peru: A scandal rocks the political arena and erodes support for the president.   

D&B Country Insight Services

D&B’s Country RiskLine reports above are written by a team of highly skilled analysts in D&B’s Country Insight Services team using exclusive data from its global network of reporting offices as well as primary and secondary data from national and international sources.

These snapshot reports provide a succinct assessment of the risk of doing business in a country, given its economic, political and commercial situation.

Updated monthly, the data and analysis are presented in a standard format  which helps you monitor and evaluate the business trading conditions in a foreign country and facilitates the management of ongoing business risk around the globe.

To find out more information click here.

 

Free Country RiskLine Reports

Select the buttons below to link to details on trading terms, payment delays, exchange rates and economic indicators, plus political, economic and commercial risk analysis.

Ecuador

Developments in a high-profile case highlight concerns over the country’s judicial system.  Report

Finland

Rising government debt poses an increasing risk to growth and stability.  Report

Pakistan

The government makes further progress with its economic reforms.  Report

veröffentlicht am: 10. Dezember 2013