Country Risk Update May 2014

May 2014

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B’s Country Risk Update.

Is the Euro-zone Crisis Over?

2014 marks the fourth anniversary of the outbreak of the euro-zone crisis. Since 2010, several countries have sought bail-outs from the EU authorities, and on several occasions the euro-zone has looked to have been on the brink of breaking up. However, since the intervention of the European Central Bank in mid-2012, the euro-zone crisis has gradually subsided, at least in terms of public perceptions. Despite several downside risks to the recovery, D&B believes that the situation in Euroland will continue to improve in 2014-15, but several keys issues still need addressing and monitoring.

Although the recovery will be uneven across countries, and despite several economies still having a long way to go, D&B believes that the worst is over for the euro-zone. That said, we still recommend that our customers monitor the situation closely (and frequently) given the existence of external threats (e.g. Ukraine). Moreover, we expect payment and credit risks in Euroland to remain elevated for several more years.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B’s Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

WORLD SNAPSHOT

AFRICA

Nigeria: The economic outlook points to robust growth, but insecurity risks are increasing.
Zimbabwe: The IMF commends Zimbabwe’s policy reforms but progress remains slow.

 

MIDDLE EAST

Lebanon: The uncertain political environment and weak security situation undermine the risk outlook.
Syria: The outlook remains particularly negative amid continued economic contraction.

 

WESTERN EUROPE

Greece: Moderate optimism rises amid easing economic contraction and increased investor appetite.
Luxembourg:  Improved exports are driving economic growth.

 

EASTERN EUROPE

Czech Republic: Exports to Germany are driving an economic recovery.
Uzbekistan: The banking sector outlook remains broadly stable over the short-term.

 

ASIA PACIFIC

India: Narendra Modi’s business-friendly party looks set to win Indian election.
Pakistan: A positive IMF review indicates good progress over recent months.

 

AMERICAS

Argentina: The risk profile continues to deteriorate amid social discontent and protests.
Paraguay: The near-term risk outlook is dominated by rising socio-political tensions.

D&B Country Insight Services

D&B’s Country RiskLine reports above are written by a team of highly skilled analysts in D&B’s Country Insight Services team using exclusive data from its global network of reporting offices as well as primary and secondary data from national and international sources.

These snapshot reports provide a succinct assessment of the risk of doing business in a country, given its economic, political and commercial situation.

Updated monthly, the data and analysis are presented in a standard format  which helps you monitor and evaluate the business trading conditions in a foreign country and facilitates the management of ongoing business risk around the globe.

To find out more information click here.

 

Free Country RiskLine Reports

Select the buttons below to link to details on trading terms, payment delays, exchange rates and economic indicators, plus political, economic and commercial risk analysis.

Costa Rica

The incoming president faces political and economic challenges. Report

Indonesia

The election result is positive for the overall risk outlook. Report

Philippines

D&B upgrades the Philippines‘ country risk rating as exports surge in 2014. Report

 


veröffentlicht am: 01. Mai 2014