Country Risk Update October 2014

October 2014

Global Economic Outlook: US fails to set the trend

The global economic recovery from the 2008-09 recessions remains patchy and is yet to become fully embedded. The US economy, although still growing below long-term trend, remains the brightest spot among the OECD economies.

A number of emerging economies have also kept growing rapidly, even if they are typically small and unable to influence the major economies: they include Malaysia, the Philippines and Panama, which each posted real GDP growth of 6.0%-plus, year-on-year, in Q2, as did Ireland.

Other factors which support global growth over the short term are falling energy prices, and in Europe, the fact that the gender wage gap is closing, political pressure is growing for a fiscal boost, and the weak euro, will help to boost the export sector.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B’s Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

WORLD SNAPSHOT

AFRICA

Tunisia: The outlook is still a source of concern due to domestic problems and regional instability.
Nigeria: The outlook is precarious as business impediments could emerge and terror activity strengthens.

 

MIDDLE EAST

Qatar: Political risk remains a concern as foreign policy creates friction.
Saudi Arabia: Private sector activity grows robustly despite labour market reforms.

 

WESTERN EUROPE

Italy: Economic indicators suggest the recession is continuing and output is weak.
Netherlands: Insolvency risk continues its downward trend.

 

EASTERN EUROPE

Estonia: Domestic demand holds up amid inclement external trade conditions.
Turkmenistan: Buoyant activity in the lucrative natural gas sector powers rapid overall growth.

 

ASIA PACIFIC

Philippines: Private consumption and exports spur growth.
India: Negative shocks mean that the economy only tentatively emerges from a period of weak growth.

 

AMERICAS

Peru: Monetary policy is loosened to boost the weak economic recovery.
Mexico: Inflationary pressures persist as growth surprises on the upside.

D&B Country Insight Services

D&B’s Country RiskLine reports above are written by a team of highly skilled analysts in D&B’s Country Insight Services team using exclusive data from its global network of reporting offices as well as primary and secondary data from national and international sources.

These snapshot reports provide a succinct assessment of the risk of doing business in a country, given its economic, political and commercial situation.

Updated monthly, the data and analysis are presented in a standard format which helps you monitor and evaluate the business trading conditions in a foreign country and facilitates the management of ongoing business risk around the globe.

To find out more information click here.

Free Country RiskLine Reports

Select the buttons below to link to details on trading terms, payment delays, exchange rates and economic indicators, plus political, economic and commercial risk analysis.

Thailand

Business continuity looks assured as the new government imposes a controlled democracy. Report

Uruguay

Broad policy continuity is assured whoever wins the presidential elections. Report

Vietnam

Moderating inflation and strong external accounts help maintain stability. Report

veröffentlicht am: 20. Oktober 2014